Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
9º
30
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 5
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
INT
9 - 1
ESA
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 71 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 7
FCR
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCO
3 - 2
ESA
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 2
PAC
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 1
INT
15%
21%
65%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCO
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LAM
0 - 0
PEN
14%
17%
70%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 1
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
INT
6 - 0
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |