Espartales Sur vs Sporting Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espartales Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ESB
2 - 3
NAY
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FSF
4 - 5
ESB
39%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ESB
3 - 1
CAM
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 0
ESB
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ESB
2 - 4
REM
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FSF
3 - 2
SAL
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 5
CAB
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAJ
0 - 1
SAL
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
OCB
2 - 4
SAL
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 3
FAL
54%
21%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |