Espanyol vs UD Mahón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ONT
0 - 1
ESP
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 1
PUE
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
RCF
1 - 0
ESP
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
UDM
0 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATH
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
UDM
0 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 78 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
UDM
3 - 1
REU
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
REU
1 - 0
UDM
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
UDM
1 - 0
ACC
51%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
ACC
1 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |