Espanyol vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
RSO
2 - 1
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 2
ZAR
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 1
ESP
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCB
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 4
SPO
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SPO
4 - 1
DEP
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |