Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Espanyol vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 2
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
RSO
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAY
1 - 4
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 3
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
MLL
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 2
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
0 - 1
RMC
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 1
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |