Espanyol vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 1
ESP
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ESP
0 - 0
VCF
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
0 - 1
ESP
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
OSA
3 - 2
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 1
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
RJA
0 - 2
VAD
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ATH
5 - 1
RJA
85%
10%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
RSO
2 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
RJA
0 - 2
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |