Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
PET
2 - 2
ESP
39%
28%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FCB
3 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SDL
0 - 1
CEL
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 2
CEL
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCB
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
SPB
67%
22%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
GET
51%
25%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |