Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MAL
4 - 0
ESP
42%
26%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
POL
3 - 2
ESP
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
5 - 0
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
69%
19%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OSA
2 - 3
FCB
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 3
FCB
32%
25%
43%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 1
MLL
74%
16%
10%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |