Espanyol B vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
GIR
4 - 2
RCD
38%
26%
35%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
RCD
4 - 2
YEC
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
GIM
2 - 2
RCD
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RCD
2 - 1
CEM
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 3
RCD
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 4
HER
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
FIG
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |