Espanyol B vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
RCD
2 - 3
HOS
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
FIG
0 - 0
RCD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
RCD
0 - 0
CDM
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
ONT
3 - 1
RCD
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
RCD
2 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAB
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
HOS
0 - 0
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
NOV
0 - 0
MLL
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
FIG
2 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
NOV
3 - 0
SLL
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |