Espanyol B vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CAS
2 - 1
RCD
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
RCD
1 - 2
FIG
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 2
RCD
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
RCD
2 - 2
LOR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 1
RCD
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
HER
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |