Español SDC vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español SDC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 2
ESP
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
REL
2 - 1
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
COR
37%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESP
24%
21%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 7
CIU
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SCD
1 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 5
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 5
ORZ
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |