Español de Alquián vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1285%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
ALQ
0 - 0
CUL
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BER
1 - 4
ALQ
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALQ
0 - 0
CEL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDV
2 - 1
ALQ
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALQ
3 - 1
VAN
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
UDB
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATA
2 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CUL
0 - 2
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BER
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |