Español de Alquián vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
3 - 2
MAL
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
ALQ
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
1 - 0
CDE
64%
18%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALH
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIN
16%
24%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
AME
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
CDE
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |