España U23 vs Marruecos U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
HND
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
JPN
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
34%
23%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
SEN
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
EGY
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marruecos U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
HND
2 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
IRQ
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +4 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
POR
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |