España U23 vs Estados Unidos U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
JPN
0 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
5 - 2
CIV
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARG
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 1
ESP
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estados Unidos U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 2
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |