España U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
GER
3 - 1
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 2
CZE
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
ENG
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
6 - 0
MLT
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 31 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
POL
3 - 2
UKR
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
UKR
1 - 1
SVN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
UKR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
UKR
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SRB
1 - 0
UKR
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |