España U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
CRO
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 0
CZE
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
0 - 3
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
POR
5 - 3
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SUI
0 - 3
POR
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
ENG
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CRO
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
NED
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |