España U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALB
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1990 |
CSK
3 - 1
ESP
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1990 |
ESP
2 - 0
ISL
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
ITA
3 - 1
ESP
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1990 |
FIN
0 - 1
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1990 |
POR
1 - 1
GER
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
POR
0 - 3
CZE
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 3
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |