España U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 1
ESP
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
AUT
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
BEL
36%
25%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
POL
0 - 2
SRB
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
POL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |