España U21 vs Noruega U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
POR
4 - 1
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUI
2 - 1
ESP
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
RUS
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
JOR
0 - 0
NOR
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 2
IRQ
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 13 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 0
SYR
77%
15%
7%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
MKD
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
NED
1 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |