España U21 vs Francia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
ESP
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 1
ESP
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Francia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 2
FRA
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
ROU
0 - 0
FRA
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
4 - 0
BIH
77%
17%
7%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
FRA
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |