España U21 vs Finlandia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 4
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 2
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
GER
56%
22%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Finlandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 4
FIN
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 1
NED
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
FIN
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |