España U21 vs Croacia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SUI
0 - 0
ESP
30%
27%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ESP
7%
16%
77%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
SUI
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
6 - 0
EST
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 2
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 1
CRO
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
SUI
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
4 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
11%
18%
72%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 2
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |