España U19 vs Lituania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
ESP
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 2
ESP
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 2
VIZ
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 3
NEV
16%
19%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEV
1 - 0
LTU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 2
LIK
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
LIE
4 - 0
LTU
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |