España U17 vs Polonia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 6
ESP
9%
15%
76%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
SMR
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 18 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
NIR
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ISR
3 - 1
POL
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
POL
2 - 0
ISL
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
ARM
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
IRL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 1
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |