Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
13º
12º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 1
ESM
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 2
LIM
36%
23%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
ESM
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAU
1 - 5
ESM
36%
23%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THO
4 - 2
SAE
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 0
THO
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THO
2 - 0
CDE
80%
12%
7%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
THO
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
PFC
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |