Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
5º
23
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
CLE
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 0
ESM
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 1
ESM
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 2
OLY
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
ESM
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
AIN
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIN
3 - 0
LIM
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
2 - 4
FEU
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
AIN
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 0
SAE
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |