Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Ain Sud analysis

Espaly-Saint-Marcel Ain Sud
23 ELO 27
-3.8% Tilt -4.8%
7569º General ELO ranking 26421º
222º Country ELO ranking 554º
ELO win probability
22.2%
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
20.8%
Draw
57%
Ain Sud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.9%
Win probability
Ain Sud
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
+54%
+6%
Ain Sud

Points and table prediction

Espaly-Saint-Marcel
Their league position
Ain Sud
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
11º
23
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Priest
55
55
100%
Lyon-Duchère
47
50
85.5%
Chambéry
47
47
85.5%
Saint-Étienne II
41
41
100%
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
38
38
0%
Olympique Lyonnais II
38
38
0%
Feurs
37
37
0%
Limonest
37
37
0%
Clermont II
33
33
100%
Hauts Lyonnais
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Chassieu Decines
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Olympique de Valence
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Ain Sud
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Vaulx
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
Ain Sud
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Espaly-Saint-Marcel
Ain Sud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espaly-Saint-Marcel
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
ESM
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1 - 0
Clermont II
CLE
16%
19%
66%
17 34 17 0
25 Nov. 2023
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
0 - 0
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
ESM
78%
15%
7%
17 52 35 0
19 Nov. 2023
FEU
Feurs
2 - 1
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
ESM
64%
19%
17%
17 26 9 0
11 Nov. 2023
ESM
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais II
OLY
12%
16%
72%
18 35 17 -1
04 Nov. 2023
LIM
Limonest
1 - 1
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
ESM
79%
14%
8%
17 36 19 +1

Matches

Ain Sud
Ain Sud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
OLY
Olympique Lyonnais II
2 - 2
Ain Sud
AIN
70%
17%
13%
29 37 8 0
09 Dec. 2023
AIN
Ain Sud
3 - 0
Limonest
LIM
25%
24%
51%
26 36 10 +3
25 Nov. 2023
AIN
Ain Sud
2 - 4
Feurs
FEU
47%
24%
29%
27 26 1 -1
11 Nov. 2023
CDE
Chassieu Decines
1 - 1
Ain Sud
AIN
14%
18%
69%
28 14 14 -1
04 Nov. 2023
AIN
Ain Sud
0 - 0
Saint-Étienne II
SAE
25%
23%
52%
27 36 9 +1