ESOFV La Roche vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
12º
12º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
0 - 1
ASC
59%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LAT
3 - 1
ESO
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 1
ANG
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
USS
0 - 0
ESO
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 1
SAB
53%
21%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 0
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 1
SPG
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
SPG
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
LAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |