ESOFV La Roche vs Challans analysis


39	ELO	41
-2.7%	Tilt	-3.3%
7092º	General ELO ranking	6553º
194º	Country ELO ranking	162º
ELO win probability

46.3%

ESOFV La Roche

25.5%

Draw

28.2%

Challans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%

25.5%

Draw

0-0

7.1%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.5%

28.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

-15%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

30

4º

12º

33

1º

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	43	43	1º	56%
2º	41	42	2º	56%
3º	40	40	3º	100%
4º	37	37	4º	100%
5º	36	36	5º	59.5%
6º	35	35	6º	40.5%
7º	34	35	7º	40.5%
9º	33	34	8º	16.5%
8º	33	33	9º	52%
10º	31	32	10º	19%
12º	30	31	11º	18.5%
13º	30	31	12º	18%
11º	30	30	13º	36.5%
14º	27	28	14º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	21.5%	100%
Relegation	78.5%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ESOFV La Roche

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Apr. 2025	FON 4 - 0 ESO 48% 25% 28%	41	44	3	0
12 Apr. 2025	ESO 2 - 0 SPG 46% 25% 29%	39	41	2	+2
05 Apr. 2025	ESO 0 - 1 ASC 59% 20% 22%	40	36	4	-1
22 Mar. 2025	LAT 3 - 1 ESO 41% 26% 34%	41	39	2	-1
15 Mar. 2025	ESO 2 - 1 ANG 47% 25% 28%	40	41	1	+1

Matches

Challans

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Apr. 2025	CHA 0 - 0 LAT 47% 26% 28%	41	40	1	0
12 Apr. 2025	ANG 2 - 2 CHA 53% 25% 22%	41	44	3	0
05 Apr. 2025	CHA 1 - 1 USS 45% 26% 28%	41	41	0	0
22 Mar. 2025	SAB 1 - 0 CHA 39% 25% 37%	42	36	6	-1
15 Mar. 2025	CHA 1 - 1 LAV 40% 26% 33%	42	44	2	0