ESOFV La Roche vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
14º
10º
44
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USS
7 - 0
ESO
35%
22%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACP
1 - 3
ESO
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 2
ESO
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ESO
1 - 1
FON
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 1
ESO
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
LAV
48%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEM
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
0 - 0
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
ACP
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |