ESMTK vs Szeged II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
9º
2º
25
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BEK
1 - 2
ESM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
4 - 0
SZO
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
3 - 0
BKV
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DAB
0 - 6
ESM
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
FHV
7%
15%
77%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Szeged II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SCG
1 - 2
BKV
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DAB
2 - 1
SCG
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 0
HON
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MLS
2 - 1
SCG
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
4 - 2
FUZ
9%
15%
77%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +3 |