ESMTK vs BFC Siófok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
0 - 0
MSE
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HON
1 - 1
ESM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
2 - 0
DUN
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
ESM
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ESM
1 - 0
MTK
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Siófok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 3
GYI
25%
25%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KAZ
2 - 3
BFC
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
PEC
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 1
BFC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 3
PAK
5%
10%
85%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |