Escuintla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
ESC
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 0
SLC
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 0
ESC
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
ESC
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUE
0 - 0
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NUE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |