Escuintla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ROS
2 - 1
ESC
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ROS
4 - 0
ESC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -3 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
SLC
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESC
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 2
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
SLC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SLC
1 - 1
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 1
AUR
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |