Escuintla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
REU
2 - 0
ESC
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
IZT
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 2
ROS
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SLC
0 - 0
ESC
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SIQ
3 - 0
NUE
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
REU
3 - 2
NUE
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |