Escocia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escocia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SCO
0 - 0
DEN
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
3 - 2
SCO
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SCO
1 - 0
CZE
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
SCO
0 - 2
GER
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SCO
1 - 3
FRA
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 0
SVN
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 3
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SVN
2 - 1
LTU
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SRB
2 - 0
LTU
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |