Scotland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
2 - 2
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
LTU
2 - 1
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
ISL
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
0 - 2
SCO
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
LTU
3 - 0
ISL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
LTU
2 - 1
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
GER
1 - 0
LTU
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
1 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 4
GER
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |