Scotland U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
SCO
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
UKR
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 0
ISL
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 2
FRA
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
SCO
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
UKR
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NIR
88%
10%
2%
|
42 | 82 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
MKD
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ISL
1 - 1
NIR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
SCO
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |