Scotland U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
SCO
3 - 1
SVN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
SCO
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
GER
3 - 0
NIR
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
4 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NIR
1 - 3
ROU
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ISR
2 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 0
MDA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |