Eschenbach vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
ESC
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
4 - 0
HOC
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 1
ESC
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 1
GOL
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
3 - 3
LUG
28%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |