Eschenbach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 5
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
RUS
42%
23%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 2
ESC
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 3
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
EMM
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 2
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 3
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |