Eschenbach vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 0
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LSS
3 - 2
ESC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
ESC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCA
6 - 0
BAL
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 6
AAR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUZ
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |