Eschen/Mauren vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 0
ESC
31%
22%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
4 - 0
MEN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 2
BAD
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 0
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 4
ESC
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCM
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
RAP
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +4 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
4 - 2
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUG
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |