ESC vs FC Zutphen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 0
BEQ
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DTS
2 - 0
ESC
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GOA
2 - 0
ESC
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
OLD
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 2
SDV
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
FC Zutphen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DOS
2 - 3
FCZ
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FCZ
1 - 1
NSC
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AZS
5 - 1
FCZ
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCZ
4 - 1
DOS
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DZC
1 - 5
FCZ
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |