Longueau vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
AMI
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AAC
3 - 1
LON
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
LIL
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
CHA
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 2
AAC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VIM
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 0
USM
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VIM
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 3
LEN
19%
19%
61%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |