Esbjerg vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
1º
1º
21
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 3
ESB
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
VFF
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 0
BRA
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FA2
1 - 2
ESB
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
LFA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
3 - 3
AAF
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BIF
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
HEL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 3
THI
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FA2
2 - 0
HEL
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |