Esbjerg vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
4º
24
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOL
2 - 0
ESB
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 1
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ESB
3 - 2
AKA
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ESB
0 - 0
SKI
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 3
ESB
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HEL
2 - 4
AKA
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
HEL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 3
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JAM
1 - 4
HEL
40%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
HEL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |