Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
BIF
1 - 6
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ESB
3 - 3
OBK
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ESB
4 - 2
AAB
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
ESB
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ESB
2 - 0
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AGF
0 - 1
AAB
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 3
AGF
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
AGF
1 - 3
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 1
MID
44%
24%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |