ES Mostaganem vs Mohammadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
OLY
3 - 0
ESM
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ESM
0 - 0
USM
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
USM
2 - 1
ESM
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ESM
3 - 1
KOU
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
USM
1 - 1
ESM
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MOH
0 - 1
ABM
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
MOH
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
MOH
0 - 3
BBA
20%
28%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
MOH
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MOH
4 - 1
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |